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Injury Facts /All Injuries
/Preventable Deaths
/Odds
of Dying
Preventable Deaths
Odds of Dying
* Brief
* Data Details
*Your odds of dying from an accidental opioid overdose continue to
be greater than dying in a motor-vehicle crash*
Fear is natural and healthy. It can help us respond to danger more
quickly or avoid a dangerous situation altogether. It can also cause us
to worry about the wrong things, especially when it comes to estimating
our level of risk.
If we overestimate our risk in one area, it can lead to anxiety and
interfere with carrying out our normal daily routine. Ironically, it
also leads us to underestimate real risks that can injure or kill us.
It can be difficult to accurately assess the biggest risks we face.
Plane crashes, being struck by lightning, or being attacked by a dog are
common fears, but what about falls
, the
danger inside a bottle of pills
, or your drive
to work ?
Knowing the odds is the first step in beating them. But, not all risks
faced in life can be accurately estimated. Many people would like to
know their odds of dying in the current COVID-19 pandemic. Please see
the infographic to understand why odds of dying estimates are not yet
available. To explore current COVID-19 case and fatality trends in the
United States please visit the COVID-19
page.
What are my odds of dying from COVID-19?
The accurate estimation of the odds of dying relies on three basic components:
Too early to know for sure
NSC uses final death certificate data published by the CDC to calculate odds of dying estimates. 2019 is the most current year with final death certificate data available. No COVID-19 deaths were recorded in 2019.
All of the current COVID-19 death estimates are preliminary and are likely to shift as the data is eventually finalized by the CDC. Although real-time tracking of COVID-19 cases and deaths is important, finalized CDC data will provide the most accurate and complete picture.
Odds of dying estimates assume that mortality trends change slowly over time with changes of only a few percentage points from year to year. Currently, COVID-19 trends are changing too rapidly to confidently anticipate future risk levels.
Visit the Injury Facts COVID-19 page to track real-time data in the United States: *_COVID-19_*
View the video for the latest odds of dying estimates. Also provided is
a summary table of some of the top causes of death. Please use the data
details tab to explore all the odds of dying estimates.
Lifetime odds of death for selected causes, United States, 2019
Cause of Death Odds of Dying
Heart disease 1 in 6
Cancer 1 in 7
All preventable causes of death 1 in 24
Chronic lower respiratory disease 1 in 27
Suicide 1 in 88
Opioid overdose 1 in 92
Fall 1 in 106
Motor-vehicle crash 1 in 107
Gun assault 1 in 289
Pedestrian incident 1 in 543
Motorcyclist 1 in 899
Drowning 1 in 1,128
Fire or smoke 1 in 1,547
Choking on food 1 in 2,535
Bicyclist 1 in 3,825
Sunstroke 1 in 8,248
Accidental gun discharge 1 in 8,571
Electrocution, radiation, extreme temperatures, and pressure 1 in 13,394
Sharp objects 1 in 29,334
Cataclysmic storm 1 in 58,669
Hornet, wasp, and bee stings 1 in 59,507
Hot surfaces and substances 1 in 63,113
Dog attack 1 in 86,781
Lightning 1 in 138,849
Railway passenger Too few deaths in 2019 to calculate odds
Passenger on an airplane Too few deaths in 2019 to calculate odds
Source: National Safety Council estimates based on data from National
Center for Health Statistics—Mortality Data for 2019, as compiled from
data provided by the 57 vital statistics jurisdictions through the Vital
Statistics Cooperative Program. Population and life expectancy data are
from the U.S. Census Bureau. Deaths are classified on the basis of the
10th Revision of the World Health Organization’s “The International
Classification of Diseases” (ICD). Numbers following titles refer to
External Cause of Morbidity and Mortality classifications in ICD-10.
See data details
# All Injuries Overview
# Preventable Deaths
* Minute by Minute
* Odds of Dying
* Deaths by Month
# Costs
* Societal Costs
* Paid by Employers and Government
* Guide to Calculating Costs
# Deaths by Demographics
* Top 10 Preventable Injuries
* All Leading Causes of Death
* Age and Cause
* Sex, Age and Cause
* Race and Ethnicity
# Intentional Deaths
* Compared to Preventable
# Historical Preventable Fatality Trends
* Where We’ve Been
* Standardized Rate
* Deaths by Sector
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* Deaths by Cause
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Odds of Dying - Injury
Factshttps://injuryfacts.nsc.org/all-injuries/preventable-death-overview/odds-of-dying/
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