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It can help us respond to danger more quickly or avoid a dangerous situation altogether. It can also cause us to worry about the wrong things, especially when it comes to estimating our level of risk. If we overestimate our risk in one area, it can lead to anxiety and interfere with carrying out our normal daily routine. Ironically, it also leads us to underestimate real risks that can injure or kill us. It can be difficult to accurately assess the biggest risks we face. Plane crashes, being struck by lightning, or being attacked by a dog are common fears, but what about falls , the danger inside a bottle of pills , or your drive to work ? Knowing the odds is the first step in beating them. But, not all risks faced in life can be accurately estimated. Many people would like to know their odds of dying in the current COVID-19 pandemic. Please see the infographic to understand why odds of dying estimates are not yet available. To explore current COVID-19 case and fatality trends in the United States please visit the COVID-19 page. What are my odds of dying from COVID-19? The accurate estimation of the odds of dying relies on three basic components: Too early to know for sure NSC uses final death certificate data published by the CDC to calculate odds of dying estimates. 2019 is the most current year with final death certificate data available. No COVID-19 deaths were recorded in 2019. All of the current COVID-19 death estimates are preliminary and are likely to shift as the data is eventually finalized by the CDC. Although real-time tracking of COVID-19 cases and deaths is important, finalized CDC data will provide the most accurate and complete picture. Odds of dying estimates assume that mortality trends change slowly over time with changes of only a few percentage points from year to year. Currently, COVID-19 trends are changing too rapidly to confidently anticipate future risk levels. Visit the Injury Facts COVID-19 page to track real-time data in the United States: *_COVID-19_* View the video for the latest odds of dying estimates. Also provided is a summary table of some of the top causes of death. Please use the data details tab to explore all the odds of dying estimates. Lifetime odds of death for selected causes, United States, 2019 Cause of Death Odds of Dying Heart disease 1 in 6 Cancer 1 in 7 All preventable causes of death 1 in 24 Chronic lower respiratory disease 1 in 27 Suicide 1 in 88 Opioid overdose 1 in 92 Fall 1 in 106 Motor-vehicle crash 1 in 107 Gun assault 1 in 289 Pedestrian incident 1 in 543 Motorcyclist 1 in 899 Drowning 1 in 1,128 Fire or smoke 1 in 1,547 Choking on food 1 in 2,535 Bicyclist 1 in 3,825 Sunstroke 1 in 8,248 Accidental gun discharge 1 in 8,571 Electrocution, radiation, extreme temperatures, and pressure 1 in 13,394 Sharp objects 1 in 29,334 Cataclysmic storm 1 in 58,669 Hornet, wasp, and bee stings 1 in 59,507 Hot surfaces and substances 1 in 63,113 Dog attack 1 in 86,781 Lightning 1 in 138,849 Railway passenger Too few deaths in 2019 to calculate odds Passenger on an airplane Too few deaths in 2019 to calculate odds Source: National Safety Council estimates based on data from National Center for Health Statistics—Mortality Data for 2019, as compiled from data provided by the 57 vital statistics jurisdictions through the Vital Statistics Cooperative Program. Population and life expectancy data are from the U.S. Census Bureau. Deaths are classified on the basis of the 10th Revision of the World Health Organization’s “The International Classification of Diseases” (ICD). Numbers following titles refer to External Cause of Morbidity and Mortality classifications in ICD-10. See data details # All Injuries Overview # Preventable Deaths * Minute by Minute * Odds of Dying * Deaths by Month # Costs * Societal Costs * Paid by Employers and Government * Guide to Calculating Costs # Deaths by Demographics * Top 10 Preventable Injuries * All Leading Causes of Death * Age and Cause * Sex, Age and Cause * Race and Ethnicity # Intentional Deaths * Compared to Preventable # Historical Preventable Fatality Trends * Where We’ve Been * Standardized Rate * Deaths by Sector * Deaths by Age Group * Deaths by Cause NSC Injury Facts * Twitter// * Facebook// * Linkedin// * Youtube// Questions and Feedback © 2021 National Safety Council. 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